Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 167.685306 183.698207 200.062151 218.006220 237.100227 256.781742 278.572758
2024-12-22 140.682707 164.490861 189.944251 219.056638 251.306070 285.813104 325.401279
2024-12-29 123.147729 152.931103 186.106857 225.489353 270.647188 320.498307 379.372517
2025-01-05 108.228331 142.301112 181.736044 230.155738 287.398065 352.319835 430.901095
2025-01-12 93.322607 129.825370 173.676172 229.269414 296.879963 375.465820 472.696357
2025-01-19 81.111829 119.160337 166.517303 228.367505 305.549193 397.246496 512.907558
2025-01-26 74.625801 114.957953 166.707667 236.003625 324.331131 431.151663 567.983227
2025-02-02 68.543824 110.554419 166.048737 242.119592 340.999807 462.532143 620.385348
2025-02-09 63.558055 107.063803 166.115252 248.818793 358.238259 494.678407 674.080587
2025-02-16 58.944283 103.587141 165.788350 254.692793 374.275196 525.388026 726.324528
2025-02-23 50.744620 94.013330 156.272617 247.473244 372.579960 533.171042 749.520163
2025-03-02 44.600131 86.902323 149.643346 243.656927 374.947147 545.863188 778.812660
2025-03-09 40.445625 82.619271 146.945901 245.339301 384.960756 569.000287 822.406677
2025-03-16 37.050821 79.239837 145.341636 248.431695 396.912049 594.888700 870.039211
2025-03-23 35.174296 78.233637 147.245236 256.623311 416.099402 630.735147 931.297845
2025-03-30 32.922444 76.334987 147.586511 262.414865 431.947839 662.296764 987.329659
2025-04-06 29.565537 72.078358 143.856268 261.817931 438.523449 681.252839 1026.746046
2025-04-13 26.525927 68.053611 140.186468 261.040018 444.655505 699.548082 1065.390589
2025-04-20 25.441156 67.677638 142.515558 269.583704 464.517614 737.065013 1130.454657
2025-04-27 24.140666 66.725740 143.768534 276.396170 481.887294 771.297938 1191.419546
2025-05-04 23.041382 66.057070 145.422681 283.817020 500.219753 807.048569 1254.789320
2025-05-11 21.875375 65.118763 146.517495 290.307655 517.219390 841.099492 1316.173268
2025-05-18 18.765613 59.568608 139.004874 282.373771 512.050128 843.451798 1333.645909